🎯 Modus
Friday, June 05 · Model trained 2026-06-04 20:21:45
⚠ Model under review — predictions shown for tracking only.
✅ 0 Bets 📋 2 Leans 🔄 3 Fades ⛔ 1 Pass
Danny Lauby — Danny Lauby vs Tommy Morris
LEAN +300 Edge +14.4% EV +51.2%
MINIMAL CONVICTION
0/12 pts · 0/4 signals
Model Breakdown
Danny Lauby 37.8% 62.2% Tommy Morris
Fair: 23.4% / 76.6%  ·  Edge: +14.4% / -14.4%  ·  Vig: 6.8%
Signals — backing Danny Lauby
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak L5 -1.74σ
✗ ★★★ H2H no history
✗ ★★★ Form backed -1 / opp +3
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 -1.34σ
Key Stats
Danny Lauby Tommy Morris Δ
Avg (career) 78.2 88.23 -10.03
Avg (L10) 80.06 92.96 -12.9
Avg (L5) 81.77 93.95 -12.19
Checkout % 30.03 38.74 -8.71
180s / match 0.44 0.59 -0.15
Win Rate 0.32 0.55 -0.23
Win Rate L10 0.5 0.9 -0.4
Avg EMA 78.6 88.77 -10.17
Streak -1 +3
Games on file 25 175
John Henderson — John Henderson vs Steve Green
LEAN -150 Edge +6.2% EV +3.3%
MINIMAL CONVICTION
0/12 pts · 0/4 signals
Model Breakdown
John Henderson 62.0% 38.0% Steve Green
Fair: 55.8% / 44.2%  ·  Edge: +6.2% / -6.2%  ·  Vig: 7.6%
Signals — backing John Henderson
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak L5 +0.59σ
✗ ★★★ H2H no history
✗ ★★★ Form backed -1 / opp +1
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 +0.34σ
Key Stats
John Henders Steve Green Δ
Avg (career) 86.39 85.58 0.81
Avg (L10) 87.89 87.87 0.02
Avg (L5) 89.75 85.63 4.11
Checkout % 42.55 42.55 0.0
180s / match 1.2 1.11 0.09
Win Rate 0.59 0.73 -0.14
Win Rate L10 0.7 0.6 0.1
Avg EMA 86.58 86.19 0.39
Streak -1 +1
Games on file 108 45
John Henderson — Tommy Morris vs John Henderson
PASS +150 Edge +0.3% EV -5.4%
LOW CONVICTION
3/12 pts · 1/4 signals
Model Breakdown
Tommy Morris 62.2% 37.8% John Henderson
Fair: 62.5% / 37.5%  ·  Edge: -0.3% / +0.3%  ·  Vig: 6.7%
Signals — backing John Henderson
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak Career -0.33σ
✓ ★☆☆ H2H dominance 5-0
✗ ★★★ Form backed -1 / opp +3
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 -0.68σ
Key Stats
Tommy Morris John Henders Δ
Avg (career) 88.23 86.39 1.84
Avg (L10) 92.96 87.89 5.08
Avg (L5) 93.95 89.75 4.21
Checkout % 38.74 42.55 -3.81
180s / match 0.59 1.2 -0.62
Win Rate 0.55 0.59 -0.04
Win Rate L10 0.9 0.7 0.2
Avg EMA 88.77 86.58 2.19
Streak +3 -1
Games on file 175 108
H2H 0–5 (5 matches)
John Henderson — Danny Lauby vs John Henderson
🔄 FADE Danny Lauby -275 Edge -10.4% EV -20.5% · fading Danny Lauby (EV +25.0%)
MINIMAL CONVICTION
0/12 pts · 0/4 signals
Model Breakdown
Danny Lauby 41.7% 58.3% John Henderson
Fair: 31.2% / 68.8%  ·  Edge: +10.4% / -10.4%  ·  Vig: 6.7%
Signals — backing John Henderson
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak L10 med -1.06σ
✗ ★★★ H2H no history
✗ ★★★ Form backed -1 / opp -1
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 -0.67σ
Key Stats
Danny Lauby John Henders Δ
Avg (career) 78.2 86.39 -8.19
Avg (L10) 80.06 87.89 -7.82
Avg (L5) 81.77 89.75 -7.98
Checkout % 30.03 42.55 -12.52
180s / match 0.44 1.2 -0.76
Win Rate 0.32 0.59 -0.27
Win Rate L10 0.5 0.7 -0.2
Avg EMA 78.6 86.58 -7.98
Streak -1 -1
Games on file 25 108
Steve Green — Danny Lauby vs Steve Green
🔄 FADE Danny Lauby -250 Edge -12.9% EV -25.3% · fading Danny Lauby (EV +28.2%)
MINIMAL CONVICTION
0/12 pts · 0/4 signals
Model Breakdown
Danny Lauby 46.6% 53.4% Steve Green
Fair: 33.7% / 66.3%  ·  Edge: +12.9% / -12.9%  ·  Vig: 7.8%
Signals — backing Steve Green
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak L5 -0.55σ
✗ ★★★ H2H no history
✗ ★★★ Form backed -1 / opp +1
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 -0.33σ
Key Stats
Danny Lauby Steve Green Δ
Avg (career) 78.2 85.58 -7.39
Avg (L10) 80.06 87.87 -7.81
Avg (L5) 81.77 85.63 -3.86
Checkout % 30.03 42.55 -12.52
180s / match 0.44 1.11 -0.67
Win Rate 0.32 0.73 -0.41
Win Rate L10 0.5 0.6 -0.1
Avg EMA 78.6 86.19 -7.59
Streak -1 +1
Games on file 25 45
Tommy Morris — Steve Green vs Tommy Morris
🔄 FADE Steve Green -200 Edge -17.7% EV -32.8% · fading Steve Green (EV +38.0%)
MINIMAL CONVICTION
0/12 pts · 0/4 signals
Model Breakdown
Steve Green 55.2% 44.8% Tommy Morris
Fair: 37.5% / 62.5%  ·  Edge: +17.7% / -17.7%  ·  Vig: 6.7%
Signals — backing Tommy Morris
✗ ★★★ Average edge peak Career -0.47σ
✗ ★★★ H2H no history
✗ ★★★ Form backed +1 / opp +3
✗ ★★★ Win rate L10 -1.01σ
Key Stats
Steve Green Tommy Morris Δ
Avg (career) 85.58 88.23 -2.64
Avg (L10) 87.87 92.96 -5.09
Avg (L5) 85.63 93.95 -8.32
Checkout % 42.55 38.74 3.81
180s / match 1.11 0.59 0.52
Win Rate 0.73 0.55 0.18
Win Rate L10 0.6 0.9 -0.3
Avg EMA 86.19 88.77 -2.58
Streak +1 +3
Games on file 45 175
⚠ Unmatched Fixtures
Player APlayer BStatus
? George Cressey ? Twan Uriot Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
? Twan Uriot ✓ Danny Lauby Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
✓ Tommy Morris ? George Cressey Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
✓ John Henderson ? Twan Uriot Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
✓ Steve Green ? George Cressey Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
? Twan Uriot ✓ Steve Green Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
? George Cressey ✓ Danny Lauby Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
✓ Tommy Morris ? Twan Uriot Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet
✓ John Henderson ? George Cressey Name not found in historical data — check spelling in Today sheet