🎯 PDC
Friday, June 05  ·  BT exponent 7.24
42 matchups — sorted by model vs market disagreement
Gerwyn Price — Gerwyn Price vs Ryan Joyce
Gerwyn Price +107  /  Ryan Joyce -134 Gerwyn Price edge: +35.9% ~8.9 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gerwyn Price 81.7% 18.3% Ryan Joyce
Market (de-vigged): 45.8% / 54.2%
Edge: +35.9% / -35.9%
Leg Win %
Gerwyn Price with throw: 59.1%
Gerwyn Price against throw: 67.0%
Key Stats
Gerwyn Price Ryan Joyce Δ
Average 98.42 91.35 7.07
With throw 97.72 90.0 7.72
Against throw 99.23 92.88 6.35
First 9 107.36 98.33 9.03
First 3 107.33 97.71 9.62
Checkout % 42.73 42.38 0.35
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 576.0 180.0 396.0
Legs won % 58.13 51.72 6.41
W/ throw % 70.73 64.14 6.59
Ag/ throw % 45.45 39.14 6.31
Dbl % 51.3 51.97 -0.67
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.5%
O5.5 3.5%
O6.5 1.1%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Gerwyn Price — Gerwyn Price vs Ryan Joyce
Gerwyn Price +107  /  Ryan Joyce -134 Gerwyn Price edge: +35.9% ~8.9 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gerwyn Price 81.7% 18.3% Ryan Joyce
Market (de-vigged): 45.8% / 54.2%
Edge: +35.9% / -35.9%
Leg Win %
Gerwyn Price with throw: 59.1%
Gerwyn Price against throw: 67.0%
Key Stats
Gerwyn Price Ryan Joyce Δ
Average 98.42 91.35 7.07
With throw 97.72 90.0 7.72
Against throw 99.23 92.88 6.35
First 9 107.36 98.33 9.03
First 3 107.33 97.71 9.62
Checkout % 42.73 42.38 0.35
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 576.0 180.0 396.0
Legs won % 58.13 51.72 6.41
W/ throw % 70.73 64.14 6.59
Ag/ throw % 45.45 39.14 6.31
Dbl % 51.3 51.97 -0.67
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.5%
O5.5 3.5%
O6.5 1.1%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Gerwyn Price — Gerwyn Price vs Ryan Joyce
Gerwyn Price +107  /  Ryan Joyce -134 Gerwyn Price edge: +35.9% ~8.9 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gerwyn Price 81.7% 18.3% Ryan Joyce
Market (de-vigged): 45.8% / 54.2%
Edge: +35.9% / -35.9%
Leg Win %
Gerwyn Price with throw: 59.1%
Gerwyn Price against throw: 67.0%
Key Stats
Gerwyn Price Ryan Joyce Δ
Average 98.42 91.35 7.07
With throw 97.72 90.0 7.72
Against throw 99.23 92.88 6.35
First 9 107.36 98.33 9.03
First 3 107.33 97.71 9.62
Checkout % 42.73 42.38 0.35
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 576.0 180.0 396.0
Legs won % 58.13 51.72 6.41
W/ throw % 70.73 64.14 6.59
Ag/ throw % 45.45 39.14 6.31
Dbl % 51.3 51.97 -0.67
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.5%
O5.5 3.5%
O6.5 1.1%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Ryan Searle — Ryan Searle vs Charlie Manby
Ryan Searle -151  /  Charlie Manby +120 Ryan Searle edge: +12.8% ~9.1 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ryan Searle 69.8% 30.2% Charlie Manby
Market (de-vigged): 57.0% / 43.0%
Edge: +12.8% / -12.8%
Leg Win %
Ryan Searle with throw: 55.1%
Ryan Searle against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Ryan Searle Charlie Manb Δ
Average 94.9 90.95 3.95
With throw 94.67 89.97 4.7
Against throw 95.19 92.02 3.17
First 9 102.92 100.17 2.75
First 3 101.13 99.74 1.39
Checkout % 42.28 38.06 4.22
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 284.0 573.0 -289.0
Legs won % 54.14 60.06 -5.92
W/ throw % 68.21 71.0 -2.79
Ag/ throw % 39.86 48.89 -9.03
Dbl % 49.55 46.3 3.25
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.2%
O5.5 6.5%
O6.5 2.4%
O7.5 0.8%
O8.5 0.2%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Ryan Searle — Ryan Searle vs Charlie Manby
Ryan Searle -151  /  Charlie Manby +120 Ryan Searle edge: +12.8% ~9.1 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ryan Searle 69.8% 30.2% Charlie Manby
Market (de-vigged): 57.0% / 43.0%
Edge: +12.8% / -12.8%
Leg Win %
Ryan Searle with throw: 55.1%
Ryan Searle against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Ryan Searle Charlie Manb Δ
Average 94.9 90.95 3.95
With throw 94.67 89.97 4.7
Against throw 95.19 92.02 3.17
First 9 102.92 100.17 2.75
First 3 101.13 99.74 1.39
Checkout % 42.28 38.06 4.22
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 284.0 573.0 -289.0
Legs won % 54.14 60.06 -5.92
W/ throw % 68.21 71.0 -2.79
Ag/ throw % 39.86 48.89 -9.03
Dbl % 49.55 46.3 3.25
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.2%
O5.5 6.5%
O6.5 2.4%
O7.5 0.8%
O8.5 0.2%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Ryan Searle — Ryan Searle vs Charlie Manby
Ryan Searle -151  /  Charlie Manby +120 Ryan Searle edge: +12.8% ~9.1 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ryan Searle 69.8% 30.2% Charlie Manby
Market (de-vigged): 57.0% / 43.0%
Edge: +12.8% / -12.8%
Leg Win %
Ryan Searle with throw: 55.1%
Ryan Searle against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Ryan Searle Charlie Manb Δ
Average 94.9 90.95 3.95
With throw 94.67 89.97 4.7
Against throw 95.19 92.02 3.17
First 9 102.92 100.17 2.75
First 3 101.13 99.74 1.39
Checkout % 42.28 38.06 4.22
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 284.0 573.0 -289.0
Legs won % 54.14 60.06 -5.92
W/ throw % 68.21 71.0 -2.79
Ag/ throw % 39.86 48.89 -9.03
Dbl % 49.55 46.3 3.25
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.2%
O5.5 6.5%
O6.5 2.4%
O7.5 0.8%
O8.5 0.2%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Ross Smith — Ross Smith vs Joe Cullen
Ross Smith -164  /  Joe Cullen +129 Ross Smith edge: +9.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ross Smith 67.8% 32.2% Joe Cullen
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +9.1% / -9.1%
Leg Win %
Ross Smith with throw: 50.8%
Ross Smith against throw: 62.7%
Key Stats
Ross Smith Joe Cullen Δ
Average 96.03 92.39 3.64
With throw 94.83 90.61 4.22
Against throw 97.33 94.41 2.92
First 9 105.5 100.91 4.59
First 3 105.69 98.98 6.71
Checkout % 40.37 36.87 3.5
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 498.0 380.0 118.0
Legs won % 55.24 51.1 4.14
W/ throw % 67.96 63.36 4.6
Ag/ throw % 42.66 38.71 3.95
Dbl % 49.02 43.99 5.03
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.9
O4.5 16.5%
O5.5 7.2%
O6.5 2.8%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Ross Smith — Ross Smith vs Joe Cullen
Ross Smith -164  /  Joe Cullen +129 Ross Smith edge: +9.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ross Smith 67.8% 32.2% Joe Cullen
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +9.1% / -9.1%
Leg Win %
Ross Smith with throw: 50.8%
Ross Smith against throw: 62.7%
Key Stats
Ross Smith Joe Cullen Δ
Average 96.03 92.39 3.64
With throw 94.83 90.61 4.22
Against throw 97.33 94.41 2.92
First 9 105.5 100.91 4.59
First 3 105.69 98.98 6.71
Checkout % 40.37 36.87 3.5
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 498.0 380.0 118.0
Legs won % 55.24 51.1 4.14
W/ throw % 67.96 63.36 4.6
Ag/ throw % 42.66 38.71 3.95
Dbl % 49.02 43.99 5.03
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.9
O4.5 16.5%
O5.5 7.2%
O6.5 2.8%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Ross Smith — Ross Smith vs Joe Cullen
Ross Smith -164  /  Joe Cullen +129 Ross Smith edge: +9.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Ross Smith 67.8% 32.2% Joe Cullen
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +9.1% / -9.1%
Leg Win %
Ross Smith with throw: 50.8%
Ross Smith against throw: 62.7%
Key Stats
Ross Smith Joe Cullen Δ
Average 96.03 92.39 3.64
With throw 94.83 90.61 4.22
Against throw 97.33 94.41 2.92
First 9 105.5 100.91 4.59
First 3 105.69 98.98 6.71
Checkout % 40.37 36.87 3.5
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 498.0 380.0 118.0
Legs won % 55.24 51.1 4.14
W/ throw % 67.96 63.36 4.6
Ag/ throw % 42.66 38.71 3.95
Dbl % 49.02 43.99 5.03
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.9
O4.5 16.5%
O5.5 7.2%
O6.5 2.8%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Michael van Gerwen — Michael van Gerwen vs Madars Razma
Michael van Gerwen -331  /  Madars Razma +244 Michael van Gerwen edge: +8.1% ~8.9 legs · 1.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Michael van Gerwen 80.6% 19.4% Madars Razma
Market (de-vigged): 72.5% / 27.5%
Edge: +8.1% / -8.1%
Leg Win %
Michael van Gerwen with throw: 56.9%
Michael van Gerwen against throw: 68.0%
Key Stats
Michael van Madars Razma Δ
Average 97.14 90.45 6.69
With throw 95.85 88.82 7.03
Against throw 98.58 92.26 6.32
First 9 107.05 97.62 9.43
First 3 106.28 97.9 8.38
Checkout % 37.55 39.61 -2.06
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 399.0 165.0 234.0
Legs won % 53.98 51.09 2.89
W/ throw % 64.97 61.85 3.12
Ag/ throw % 42.95 40.5 2.45
Dbl % 45.03 47.81 -2.78
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.8
O4.5 3.6%
O5.5 1.0%
O6.5 0.3%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Michael van Gerwen — Michael van Gerwen vs Madars Razma
Michael van Gerwen -331  /  Madars Razma +244 Michael van Gerwen edge: +8.1% ~8.9 legs · 1.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Michael van Gerwen 80.6% 19.4% Madars Razma
Market (de-vigged): 72.5% / 27.5%
Edge: +8.1% / -8.1%
Leg Win %
Michael van Gerwen with throw: 56.9%
Michael van Gerwen against throw: 68.0%
Key Stats
Michael van Madars Razma Δ
Average 97.14 90.45 6.69
With throw 95.85 88.82 7.03
Against throw 98.58 92.26 6.32
First 9 107.05 97.62 9.43
First 3 106.28 97.9 8.38
Checkout % 37.55 39.61 -2.06
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 399.0 165.0 234.0
Legs won % 53.98 51.09 2.89
W/ throw % 64.97 61.85 3.12
Ag/ throw % 42.95 40.5 2.45
Dbl % 45.03 47.81 -2.78
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.8
O4.5 3.6%
O5.5 1.0%
O6.5 0.3%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Michael van Gerwen — Michael van Gerwen vs Madars Razma
Michael van Gerwen -331  /  Madars Razma +244 Michael van Gerwen edge: +8.1% ~8.9 legs · 1.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Michael van Gerwen 80.6% 19.4% Madars Razma
Market (de-vigged): 72.5% / 27.5%
Edge: +8.1% / -8.1%
Leg Win %
Michael van Gerwen with throw: 56.9%
Michael van Gerwen against throw: 68.0%
Key Stats
Michael van Madars Razma Δ
Average 97.14 90.45 6.69
With throw 95.85 88.82 7.03
Against throw 98.58 92.26 6.32
First 9 107.05 97.62 9.43
First 3 106.28 97.9 8.38
Checkout % 37.55 39.61 -2.06
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 399.0 165.0 234.0
Legs won % 53.98 51.09 2.89
W/ throw % 64.97 61.85 3.12
Ag/ throw % 42.95 40.5 2.45
Dbl % 45.03 47.81 -2.78
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.8
O4.5 3.6%
O5.5 1.0%
O6.5 0.3%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 8.9
Damon Heta — Damon Heta vs Niels Zonneveld
Damon Heta -102  /  Niels Zonneveld -124 Damon Heta edge: +7.8% ~9.3 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Damon Heta 55.5% 44.5% Niels Zonneveld
Market (de-vigged): 47.7% / 52.3%
Edge: +7.8% / -7.8%
Leg Win %
Damon Heta with throw: 46.7%
Damon Heta against throw: 57.4%
Key Stats
Damon Heta Niels Zonnev Δ
Average 94.62 93.53 1.09
With throw 93.6 91.88 1.72
Against throw 95.73 95.33 0.4
First 9 101.88 102.38 -0.5
First 3 100.65 101.15 -0.5
Checkout % 43.78 39.81 3.97
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 295.0 431.0 -136.0
Legs won % 55.63 54.1 1.53
W/ throw % 67.94 68.48 -0.54
Ag/ throw % 42.59 40.15 2.44
Dbl % 51.89 48.56 3.33
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.7%
O5.5 3.6%
O6.5 1.2%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Damon Heta — Damon Heta vs Niels Zonneveld
Damon Heta -102  /  Niels Zonneveld -124 Damon Heta edge: +7.8% ~9.3 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Damon Heta 55.5% 44.5% Niels Zonneveld
Market (de-vigged): 47.7% / 52.3%
Edge: +7.8% / -7.8%
Leg Win %
Damon Heta with throw: 46.7%
Damon Heta against throw: 57.4%
Key Stats
Damon Heta Niels Zonnev Δ
Average 94.62 93.53 1.09
With throw 93.6 91.88 1.72
Against throw 95.73 95.33 0.4
First 9 101.88 102.38 -0.5
First 3 100.65 101.15 -0.5
Checkout % 43.78 39.81 3.97
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 295.0 431.0 -136.0
Legs won % 55.63 54.1 1.53
W/ throw % 67.94 68.48 -0.54
Ag/ throw % 42.59 40.15 2.44
Dbl % 51.89 48.56 3.33
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.7%
O5.5 3.6%
O6.5 1.2%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Damon Heta — Damon Heta vs Niels Zonneveld
Damon Heta -102  /  Niels Zonneveld -124 Damon Heta edge: +7.8% ~9.3 legs · 2.4 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Damon Heta 55.5% 44.5% Niels Zonneveld
Market (de-vigged): 47.7% / 52.3%
Edge: +7.8% / -7.8%
Leg Win %
Damon Heta with throw: 46.7%
Damon Heta against throw: 57.4%
Key Stats
Damon Heta Niels Zonnev Δ
Average 94.62 93.53 1.09
With throw 93.6 91.88 1.72
Against throw 95.73 95.33 0.4
First 9 101.88 102.38 -0.5
First 3 100.65 101.15 -0.5
Checkout % 43.78 39.81 3.97
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 295.0 431.0 -136.0
Legs won % 55.63 54.1 1.53
W/ throw % 67.94 68.48 -0.54
Ag/ throw % 42.59 40.15 2.44
Dbl % 51.89 48.56 3.33
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.4
O4.5 9.7%
O5.5 3.6%
O6.5 1.2%
O7.5 0.3%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Gian van Veen — Gian van Veen vs Connor Scutt
Gian van Veen -254  /  Connor Scutt +188 Gian van Veen edge: +7.7% ~9.0 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gian van Veen 75.1% 24.9% Connor Scutt
Market (de-vigged): 67.4% / 32.6%
Edge: +7.7% / -7.7%
Leg Win %
Gian van Veen with throw: 55.1%
Gian van Veen against throw: 64.6%
Key Stats
Gian van Vee Connor Scutt Δ
Average 97.11 91.86 5.25
With throw 95.98 90.55 5.43
Against throw 98.4 93.3 5.1
First 9 105.0 100.1 4.9
First 3 105.59 99.65 5.94
Checkout % 44.38 38.83 5.55
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 575.0 303.0 272.0
Legs won % 56.17 49.43 6.74
W/ throw % 67.13 61.47 5.66
Ag/ throw % 44.24 37.32 6.92
Dbl % 54.23 46.63 7.6
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.8%
O5.5 6.8%
O6.5 2.6%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Gian van Veen — Gian van Veen vs Connor Scutt
Gian van Veen -254  /  Connor Scutt +188 Gian van Veen edge: +7.7% ~9.0 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gian van Veen 75.1% 24.9% Connor Scutt
Market (de-vigged): 67.4% / 32.6%
Edge: +7.7% / -7.7%
Leg Win %
Gian van Veen with throw: 55.1%
Gian van Veen against throw: 64.6%
Key Stats
Gian van Vee Connor Scutt Δ
Average 97.11 91.86 5.25
With throw 95.98 90.55 5.43
Against throw 98.4 93.3 5.1
First 9 105.0 100.1 4.9
First 3 105.59 99.65 5.94
Checkout % 44.38 38.83 5.55
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 575.0 303.0 272.0
Legs won % 56.17 49.43 6.74
W/ throw % 67.13 61.47 5.66
Ag/ throw % 44.24 37.32 6.92
Dbl % 54.23 46.63 7.6
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.8%
O5.5 6.8%
O6.5 2.6%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Gian van Veen — Gian van Veen vs Connor Scutt
Gian van Veen -254  /  Connor Scutt +188 Gian van Veen edge: +7.7% ~9.0 legs · 2.8 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Gian van Veen 75.1% 24.9% Connor Scutt
Market (de-vigged): 67.4% / 32.6%
Edge: +7.7% / -7.7%
Leg Win %
Gian van Veen with throw: 55.1%
Gian van Veen against throw: 64.6%
Key Stats
Gian van Vee Connor Scutt Δ
Average 97.11 91.86 5.25
With throw 95.98 90.55 5.43
Against throw 98.4 93.3 5.1
First 9 105.0 100.1 4.9
First 3 105.59 99.65 5.94
Checkout % 44.38 38.83 5.55
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 575.0 303.0 272.0
Legs won % 56.17 49.43 6.74
W/ throw % 67.13 61.47 5.66
Ag/ throw % 44.24 37.32 6.92
Dbl % 54.23 46.63 7.6
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.8
O4.5 15.8%
O5.5 6.8%
O6.5 2.6%
O7.5 0.9%
O8.5 0.3%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Chris Dobey — Chris Dobey vs Kim Huybrechts
Chris Dobey -225  /  Kim Huybrechts +174 Chris Dobey edge: +7.4% ~9.1 legs · 3.3 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Chris Dobey 72.9% 27.1% Kim Huybrechts
Market (de-vigged): 65.5% / 34.5%
Edge: +7.4% / -7.4%
Leg Win %
Chris Dobey with throw: 51.5%
Chris Dobey against throw: 66.2%
Key Stats
Chris Dobey Kim Huybrech Δ
Average 97.03 92.29 4.74
With throw 95.15 90.41 4.74
Against throw 99.19 94.39 4.8
First 9 107.44 100.86 6.58
First 3 108.33 101.44 6.89
Checkout % 38.17 38.01 0.16
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 591.0 411.0 180.0
Legs won % 59.17 53.88 5.29
W/ throw % 70.78 65.89 4.89
Ag/ throw % 47.18 41.99 5.19
Dbl % 45.46 45.16 0.3
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.3
O4.5 23.0%
O5.5 11.2%
O6.5 4.8%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Chris Dobey — Chris Dobey vs Kim Huybrechts
Chris Dobey -225  /  Kim Huybrechts +174 Chris Dobey edge: +7.4% ~9.1 legs · 3.3 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Chris Dobey 72.9% 27.1% Kim Huybrechts
Market (de-vigged): 65.5% / 34.5%
Edge: +7.4% / -7.4%
Leg Win %
Chris Dobey with throw: 51.5%
Chris Dobey against throw: 66.2%
Key Stats
Chris Dobey Kim Huybrech Δ
Average 97.03 92.29 4.74
With throw 95.15 90.41 4.74
Against throw 99.19 94.39 4.8
First 9 107.44 100.86 6.58
First 3 108.33 101.44 6.89
Checkout % 38.17 38.01 0.16
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 591.0 411.0 180.0
Legs won % 59.17 53.88 5.29
W/ throw % 70.78 65.89 4.89
Ag/ throw % 47.18 41.99 5.19
Dbl % 45.46 45.16 0.3
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.3
O4.5 23.0%
O5.5 11.2%
O6.5 4.8%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Chris Dobey — Chris Dobey vs Kim Huybrechts
Chris Dobey -225  /  Kim Huybrechts +174 Chris Dobey edge: +7.4% ~9.1 legs · 3.3 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Chris Dobey 72.9% 27.1% Kim Huybrechts
Market (de-vigged): 65.5% / 34.5%
Edge: +7.4% / -7.4%
Leg Win %
Chris Dobey with throw: 51.5%
Chris Dobey against throw: 66.2%
Key Stats
Chris Dobey Kim Huybrech Δ
Average 97.03 92.29 4.74
With throw 95.15 90.41 4.74
Against throw 99.19 94.39 4.8
First 9 107.44 100.86 6.58
First 3 108.33 101.44 6.89
Checkout % 38.17 38.01 0.16
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 591.0 411.0 180.0
Legs won % 59.17 53.88 5.29
W/ throw % 70.78 65.89 4.89
Ag/ throw % 47.18 41.99 5.19
Dbl % 45.46 45.16 0.3
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.3
O4.5 23.0%
O5.5 11.2%
O6.5 4.8%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Jermaine Wattimena — Jermaine Wattimena vs Bradley Brooks
Jermaine Wattimena -293  /  Bradley Brooks +211 Jermaine Wattimena edge: -7.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.6 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Jermaine Wattimena 62.8% 37.2% Bradley Brooks
Market (de-vigged): 69.9% / 30.1%
Edge: -7.1% / +7.1%
Leg Win %
Jermaine Wattimena with throw: 49.5%
Jermaine Wattimena against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Jermaine Wat Bradley Broo Δ
Average 94.69 92.23 2.46
With throw 92.82 91.46 1.36
Against throw 96.79 93.1 3.69
First 9 104.19 100.21 3.98
First 3 103.15 99.02 4.13
Checkout % 39.31 39.52 -0.21
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 470.0 304.0 166.0
Legs won % 56.19 50.39 5.8
W/ throw % 68.3 65.36 2.94
Ag/ throw % 44.09 35.31 8.78
Dbl % 47.58 48.21 -0.63
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.6
O4.5 11.6%
O5.5 4.6%
O6.5 1.6%
O7.5 0.5%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Jermaine Wattimena — Jermaine Wattimena vs Bradley Brooks
Jermaine Wattimena -293  /  Bradley Brooks +211 Jermaine Wattimena edge: -7.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.6 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Jermaine Wattimena 62.8% 37.2% Bradley Brooks
Market (de-vigged): 69.9% / 30.1%
Edge: -7.1% / +7.1%
Leg Win %
Jermaine Wattimena with throw: 49.5%
Jermaine Wattimena against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Jermaine Wat Bradley Broo Δ
Average 94.69 92.23 2.46
With throw 92.82 91.46 1.36
Against throw 96.79 93.1 3.69
First 9 104.19 100.21 3.98
First 3 103.15 99.02 4.13
Checkout % 39.31 39.52 -0.21
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 470.0 304.0 166.0
Legs won % 56.19 50.39 5.8
W/ throw % 68.3 65.36 2.94
Ag/ throw % 44.09 35.31 8.78
Dbl % 47.58 48.21 -0.63
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.6
O4.5 11.6%
O5.5 4.6%
O6.5 1.6%
O7.5 0.5%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Jermaine Wattimena — Jermaine Wattimena vs Bradley Brooks
Jermaine Wattimena -293  /  Bradley Brooks +211 Jermaine Wattimena edge: -7.1% ~9.2 legs · 2.6 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Jermaine Wattimena 62.8% 37.2% Bradley Brooks
Market (de-vigged): 69.9% / 30.1%
Edge: -7.1% / +7.1%
Leg Win %
Jermaine Wattimena with throw: 49.5%
Jermaine Wattimena against throw: 60.1%
Key Stats
Jermaine Wat Bradley Broo Δ
Average 94.69 92.23 2.46
With throw 92.82 91.46 1.36
Against throw 96.79 93.1 3.69
First 9 104.19 100.21 3.98
First 3 103.15 99.02 4.13
Checkout % 39.31 39.52 -0.21
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 470.0 304.0 166.0
Legs won % 56.19 50.39 5.8
W/ throw % 68.3 65.36 2.94
Ag/ throw % 44.09 35.31 8.78
Dbl % 47.58 48.21 -0.63
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.6
O4.5 11.6%
O5.5 4.6%
O6.5 1.6%
O7.5 0.5%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Josh Rock — Josh Rock vs Cameron Menzies
Josh Rock -229  /  Cameron Menzies +172 Josh Rock edge: +7.0% ~9.1 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Josh Rock 72.4% 27.6% Cameron Menzies
Market (de-vigged): 65.4% / 34.6%
Edge: +7.0% / -7.0%
Leg Win %
Josh Rock with throw: 52.0%
Josh Rock against throw: 65.2%
Key Stats
Josh Rock Cameron Menz Δ
Average 96.5 91.94 4.56
With throw 94.67 90.39 4.28
Against throw 98.6 93.63 4.97
First 9 105.89 101.21 4.68
First 3 105.75 100.23 5.52
Checkout % 38.82 36.09 2.73
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 567.0 371.0 196.0
Legs won % 53.35 51.58 1.77
W/ throw % 66.58 62.92 3.66
Ag/ throw % 39.66 40.43 -0.77
Dbl % 46.13 43.31 2.82
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.3%
O5.5 8.9%
O6.5 3.6%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Josh Rock — Josh Rock vs Cameron Menzies
Josh Rock -229  /  Cameron Menzies +172 Josh Rock edge: +7.0% ~9.1 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Josh Rock 72.4% 27.6% Cameron Menzies
Market (de-vigged): 65.4% / 34.6%
Edge: +7.0% / -7.0%
Leg Win %
Josh Rock with throw: 52.0%
Josh Rock against throw: 65.2%
Key Stats
Josh Rock Cameron Menz Δ
Average 96.5 91.94 4.56
With throw 94.67 90.39 4.28
Against throw 98.6 93.63 4.97
First 9 105.89 101.21 4.68
First 3 105.75 100.23 5.52
Checkout % 38.82 36.09 2.73
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 567.0 371.0 196.0
Legs won % 53.35 51.58 1.77
W/ throw % 66.58 62.92 3.66
Ag/ throw % 39.66 40.43 -0.77
Dbl % 46.13 43.31 2.82
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.3%
O5.5 8.9%
O6.5 3.6%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Josh Rock — Josh Rock vs Cameron Menzies
Josh Rock -229  /  Cameron Menzies +172 Josh Rock edge: +7.0% ~9.1 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Josh Rock 72.4% 27.6% Cameron Menzies
Market (de-vigged): 65.4% / 34.6%
Edge: +7.0% / -7.0%
Leg Win %
Josh Rock with throw: 52.0%
Josh Rock against throw: 65.2%
Key Stats
Josh Rock Cameron Menz Δ
Average 96.5 91.94 4.56
With throw 94.67 90.39 4.28
Against throw 98.6 93.63 4.97
First 9 105.89 101.21 4.68
First 3 105.75 100.23 5.52
Checkout % 38.82 36.09 2.73
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 567.0 371.0 196.0
Legs won % 53.35 51.58 1.77
W/ throw % 66.58 62.92 3.66
Ag/ throw % 39.66 40.43 -0.77
Dbl % 46.13 43.31 2.82
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.3%
O5.5 8.9%
O6.5 3.6%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.1
Stephen Bunting — Stephen Bunting vs Krzysztof Ratajski
Stephen Bunting -164  /  Krzysztof Ratajski +129 Stephen Bunting edge: +4.2% ~9.2 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Stephen Bunting 62.9% 37.1% Krzysztof Ratajski
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +4.2% / -4.2%
Leg Win %
Stephen Bunting with throw: 49.8%
Stephen Bunting against throw: 59.8%
Key Stats
Stephen Bunt Krzysztof Ra Δ
Average 97.04 94.45 2.59
With throw 95.8 93.15 2.65
Against throw 98.4 95.9 2.5
First 9 106.71 103.23 3.48
First 3 107.3 102.03 5.27
Checkout % 39.29 38.82 0.47
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 633.0 295.0 338.0
Legs won % 56.07 54.1 1.97
W/ throw % 70.89 66.18 4.71
Ag/ throw % 41.21 42.15 -0.94
Dbl % 46.83 46.26 0.57
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.5%
O5.5 9.0%
O6.5 3.7%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Stephen Bunting — Stephen Bunting vs Krzysztof Ratajski
Stephen Bunting -164  /  Krzysztof Ratajski +129 Stephen Bunting edge: +4.2% ~9.2 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Stephen Bunting 62.9% 37.1% Krzysztof Ratajski
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +4.2% / -4.2%
Leg Win %
Stephen Bunting with throw: 49.8%
Stephen Bunting against throw: 59.8%
Key Stats
Stephen Bunt Krzysztof Ra Δ
Average 97.04 94.45 2.59
With throw 95.8 93.15 2.65
Against throw 98.4 95.9 2.5
First 9 106.71 103.23 3.48
First 3 107.3 102.03 5.27
Checkout % 39.29 38.82 0.47
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 633.0 295.0 338.0
Legs won % 56.07 54.1 1.97
W/ throw % 70.89 66.18 4.71
Ag/ throw % 41.21 42.15 -0.94
Dbl % 46.83 46.26 0.57
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.5%
O5.5 9.0%
O6.5 3.7%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Stephen Bunting — Stephen Bunting vs Krzysztof Ratajski
Stephen Bunting -164  /  Krzysztof Ratajski +129 Stephen Bunting edge: +4.2% ~9.2 legs · 3.1 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Stephen Bunting 62.9% 37.1% Krzysztof Ratajski
Market (de-vigged): 58.7% / 41.3%
Edge: +4.2% / -4.2%
Leg Win %
Stephen Bunting with throw: 49.8%
Stephen Bunting against throw: 59.8%
Key Stats
Stephen Bunt Krzysztof Ra Δ
Average 97.04 94.45 2.59
With throw 95.8 93.15 2.65
Against throw 98.4 95.9 2.5
First 9 106.71 103.23 3.48
First 3 107.3 102.03 5.27
Checkout % 39.29 38.82 0.47
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 633.0 295.0 338.0
Legs won % 56.07 54.1 1.97
W/ throw % 70.89 66.18 4.71
Ag/ throw % 41.21 42.15 -0.94
Dbl % 46.83 46.26 0.57
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.1
O4.5 19.5%
O5.5 9.0%
O6.5 3.7%
O7.5 1.3%
O8.5 0.4%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
James Wade — James Wade vs Dave Chisnall
James Wade -235  /  Dave Chisnall +176 James Wade edge: +3.4% ~9.2 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
James Wade 69.3% 30.7% Dave Chisnall
Market (de-vigged): 65.9% / 34.1%
Edge: +3.4% / -3.4%
Leg Win %
James Wade with throw: 50.6%
James Wade against throw: 64.1%
Key Stats
James Wade Dave Chisnal Δ
Average 95.03 91.19 3.84
With throw 93.38 89.48 3.9
Against throw 96.93 93.07 3.86
First 9 102.2 100.14 2.06
First 3 100.92 99.25 1.67
Checkout % 43.46 36.09 7.37
Hi checkout 170.0 167.0 3.0
180s 332.0 351.0 -19.0
Legs won % 55.23 50.49 4.74
W/ throw % 67.97 61.7 6.27
Ag/ throw % 42.08 39.37 2.71
Dbl % 52.96 42.38 10.58
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 7.6%
O5.5 2.7%
O6.5 0.8%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
James Wade — James Wade vs Dave Chisnall
James Wade -235  /  Dave Chisnall +176 James Wade edge: +3.4% ~9.2 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
James Wade 69.3% 30.7% Dave Chisnall
Market (de-vigged): 65.9% / 34.1%
Edge: +3.4% / -3.4%
Leg Win %
James Wade with throw: 50.6%
James Wade against throw: 64.1%
Key Stats
James Wade Dave Chisnal Δ
Average 95.03 91.19 3.84
With throw 93.38 89.48 3.9
Against throw 96.93 93.07 3.86
First 9 102.2 100.14 2.06
First 3 100.92 99.25 1.67
Checkout % 43.46 36.09 7.37
Hi checkout 170.0 167.0 3.0
180s 332.0 351.0 -19.0
Legs won % 55.23 50.49 4.74
W/ throw % 67.97 61.7 6.27
Ag/ throw % 42.08 39.37 2.71
Dbl % 52.96 42.38 10.58
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 7.6%
O5.5 2.7%
O6.5 0.8%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
James Wade — James Wade vs Dave Chisnall
James Wade -235  /  Dave Chisnall +176 James Wade edge: +3.4% ~9.2 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
James Wade 69.3% 30.7% Dave Chisnall
Market (de-vigged): 65.9% / 34.1%
Edge: +3.4% / -3.4%
Leg Win %
James Wade with throw: 50.6%
James Wade against throw: 64.1%
Key Stats
James Wade Dave Chisnal Δ
Average 95.03 91.19 3.84
With throw 93.38 89.48 3.9
Against throw 96.93 93.07 3.86
First 9 102.2 100.14 2.06
First 3 100.92 99.25 1.67
Checkout % 43.46 36.09 7.37
Hi checkout 170.0 167.0 3.0
180s 332.0 351.0 -19.0
Legs won % 55.23 50.49 4.74
W/ throw % 67.97 61.7 6.27
Ag/ throw % 42.08 39.37 2.71
Dbl % 52.96 42.38 10.58
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 7.6%
O5.5 2.7%
O6.5 0.8%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.1%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.2
Danny Noppert — Danny Noppert vs Ricardo Pietreczko
Danny Noppert -456  /  Ricardo Pietreczko +295 Danny Noppert edge: +2.4% ~9.0 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Danny Noppert 78.8% 21.2% Ricardo Pietreczko
Market (de-vigged): 76.4% / 23.6%
Edge: +2.4% / -2.4%
Leg Win %
Danny Noppert with throw: 55.2%
Danny Noppert against throw: 67.9%
Key Stats
Danny Nopper Ricardo Piet Δ
Average 94.83 88.7 6.13
With throw 93.72 86.61 7.11
Against throw 96.06 91.06 5.0
First 9 102.9 95.53 7.37
First 3 101.68 95.32 6.36
Checkout % 39.64 37.03 2.61
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 521.0 158.0 363.0
Legs won % 55.14 47.77 7.37
W/ throw % 67.89 59.81 8.08
Ag/ throw % 42.11 35.33 6.78
Dbl % 47.4 43.41 3.99
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 6.9%
O5.5 2.4%
O6.5 0.7%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Danny Noppert — Danny Noppert vs Ricardo Pietreczko
Danny Noppert -456  /  Ricardo Pietreczko +295 Danny Noppert edge: +2.4% ~9.0 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Danny Noppert 78.8% 21.2% Ricardo Pietreczko
Market (de-vigged): 76.4% / 23.6%
Edge: +2.4% / -2.4%
Leg Win %
Danny Noppert with throw: 55.2%
Danny Noppert against throw: 67.9%
Key Stats
Danny Nopper Ricardo Piet Δ
Average 94.83 88.7 6.13
With throw 93.72 86.61 7.11
Against throw 96.06 91.06 5.0
First 9 102.9 95.53 7.37
First 3 101.68 95.32 6.36
Checkout % 39.64 37.03 2.61
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 521.0 158.0 363.0
Legs won % 55.14 47.77 7.37
W/ throw % 67.89 59.81 8.08
Ag/ throw % 42.11 35.33 6.78
Dbl % 47.4 43.41 3.99
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 6.9%
O5.5 2.4%
O6.5 0.7%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Danny Noppert — Danny Noppert vs Ricardo Pietreczko
Danny Noppert -456  /  Ricardo Pietreczko +295 Danny Noppert edge: +2.4% ~9.0 legs · 2.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Danny Noppert 78.8% 21.2% Ricardo Pietreczko
Market (de-vigged): 76.4% / 23.6%
Edge: +2.4% / -2.4%
Leg Win %
Danny Noppert with throw: 55.2%
Danny Noppert against throw: 67.9%
Key Stats
Danny Nopper Ricardo Piet Δ
Average 94.83 88.7 6.13
With throw 93.72 86.61 7.11
Against throw 96.06 91.06 5.0
First 9 102.9 95.53 7.37
First 3 101.68 95.32 6.36
Checkout % 39.64 37.03 2.61
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 521.0 158.0 363.0
Legs won % 55.14 47.77 7.37
W/ throw % 67.89 59.81 8.08
Ag/ throw % 42.11 35.33 6.78
Dbl % 47.4 43.41 3.99
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 2.2
O4.5 6.9%
O5.5 2.4%
O6.5 0.7%
O7.5 0.2%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.0
Kevin Doets — Luke Woodhouse vs Kevin Doets
Luke Woodhouse +128  /  Kevin Doets -163 Luke Woodhouse edge: +1.8% ~9.3 legs · 3.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Luke Woodhouse 43.2% 56.8% Kevin Doets
Market (de-vigged): 41.4% / 58.6%
Edge: +1.8% / -1.8%
Leg Win %
Luke Woodhouse with throw: 43.4%
Luke Woodhouse against throw: 51.6%
Key Stats
Luke Woodhou Kevin Doets Δ
Average 94.02 95.34 -1.32
With throw 93.01 94.28 -1.27
Against throw 95.13 96.5 -1.37
First 9 102.25 105.05 -2.8
First 3 100.5 108.24 -7.74
Checkout % 39.16 40.73 -1.57
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 416.0 563.0 -147.0
Legs won % 54.28 57.78 -3.5
W/ throw % 67.91 70.53 -2.62
Ag/ throw % 40.82 45.1 -4.28
Dbl % 47.23 49.73 -2.5
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.2
O4.5 22.8%
O5.5 11.1%
O6.5 4.7%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Kevin Doets — Luke Woodhouse vs Kevin Doets
Luke Woodhouse +128  /  Kevin Doets -163 Luke Woodhouse edge: +1.8% ~9.3 legs · 3.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Luke Woodhouse 43.2% 56.8% Kevin Doets
Market (de-vigged): 41.4% / 58.6%
Edge: +1.8% / -1.8%
Leg Win %
Luke Woodhouse with throw: 43.4%
Luke Woodhouse against throw: 51.6%
Key Stats
Luke Woodhou Kevin Doets Δ
Average 94.02 95.34 -1.32
With throw 93.01 94.28 -1.27
Against throw 95.13 96.5 -1.37
First 9 102.25 105.05 -2.8
First 3 100.5 108.24 -7.74
Checkout % 39.16 40.73 -1.57
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 416.0 563.0 -147.0
Legs won % 54.28 57.78 -3.5
W/ throw % 67.91 70.53 -2.62
Ag/ throw % 40.82 45.1 -4.28
Dbl % 47.23 49.73 -2.5
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.2
O4.5 22.8%
O5.5 11.1%
O6.5 4.7%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Kevin Doets — Luke Woodhouse vs Kevin Doets
Luke Woodhouse +128  /  Kevin Doets -163 Luke Woodhouse edge: +1.8% ~9.3 legs · 3.2 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Luke Woodhouse 43.2% 56.8% Kevin Doets
Market (de-vigged): 41.4% / 58.6%
Edge: +1.8% / -1.8%
Leg Win %
Luke Woodhouse with throw: 43.4%
Luke Woodhouse against throw: 51.6%
Key Stats
Luke Woodhou Kevin Doets Δ
Average 94.02 95.34 -1.32
With throw 93.01 94.28 -1.27
Against throw 95.13 96.5 -1.37
First 9 102.25 105.05 -2.8
First 3 100.5 108.24 -7.74
Checkout % 39.16 40.73 -1.57
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 416.0 563.0 -147.0
Legs won % 54.28 57.78 -3.5
W/ throw % 67.91 70.53 -2.62
Ag/ throw % 40.82 45.1 -4.28
Dbl % 47.23 49.73 -2.5
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 3.2
O4.5 22.8%
O5.5 11.1%
O6.5 4.7%
O7.5 1.8%
O8.5 0.6%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Rob Cross — Mike De Decker vs Rob Cross
Mike De Decker +129  /  Rob Cross -164 Mike De Decker edge: -1.4% ~9.3 legs · 1.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Mike De Decker 39.9% 60.1% Rob Cross
Market (de-vigged): 41.3% / 58.7%
Edge: -1.4% / +1.4%
Leg Win %
Mike De Decker with throw: 41.5%
Mike De Decker against throw: 51.1%
Key Stats
Mike De Deck Rob Cross Δ
Average 92.84 94.85 -2.01
With throw 90.91 94.42 -3.51
Against throw 94.97 95.34 -0.37
First 9 100.88 102.99 -2.11
First 3 102.22 101.29 0.93
Checkout % 37.27 40.92 -3.65
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 307.0 282.0 25.0
Legs won % 50.92 53.57 -2.65
W/ throw % 61.1 67.53 -6.43
Ag/ throw % 40.58 39.48 1.1
Dbl % 44.33 48.39 -4.06
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.9
O4.5 4.8%
O5.5 1.5%
O6.5 0.4%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Rob Cross — Mike De Decker vs Rob Cross
Mike De Decker +129  /  Rob Cross -164 Mike De Decker edge: -1.4% ~9.3 legs · 1.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Mike De Decker 39.9% 60.1% Rob Cross
Market (de-vigged): 41.3% / 58.7%
Edge: -1.4% / +1.4%
Leg Win %
Mike De Decker with throw: 41.5%
Mike De Decker against throw: 51.1%
Key Stats
Mike De Deck Rob Cross Δ
Average 92.84 94.85 -2.01
With throw 90.91 94.42 -3.51
Against throw 94.97 95.34 -0.37
First 9 100.88 102.99 -2.11
First 3 102.22 101.29 0.93
Checkout % 37.27 40.92 -3.65
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 307.0 282.0 25.0
Legs won % 50.92 53.57 -2.65
W/ throw % 61.1 67.53 -6.43
Ag/ throw % 40.58 39.48 1.1
Dbl % 44.33 48.39 -4.06
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.9
O4.5 4.8%
O5.5 1.5%
O6.5 0.4%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3
Rob Cross — Mike De Decker vs Rob Cross
Mike De Decker +129  /  Rob Cross -164 Mike De Decker edge: -1.4% ~9.3 legs · 1.9 180s exp.
2026-05-23
Win Probability
Mike De Decker 39.9% 60.1% Rob Cross
Market (de-vigged): 41.3% / 58.7%
Edge: -1.4% / +1.4%
Leg Win %
Mike De Decker with throw: 41.5%
Mike De Decker against throw: 51.1%
Key Stats
Mike De Deck Rob Cross Δ
Average 92.84 94.85 -2.01
With throw 90.91 94.42 -3.51
Against throw 94.97 95.34 -0.37
First 9 100.88 102.99 -2.11
First 3 102.22 101.29 0.93
Checkout % 37.27 40.92 -3.65
Hi checkout 170.0 170.0 0.0
180s 307.0 282.0 25.0
Legs won % 50.92 53.57 -2.65
W/ throw % 61.1 67.53 -6.43
Ag/ throw % 40.58 39.48 1.1
Dbl % 44.33 48.39 -4.06
180s Totals (Poisson model)
Expected: 1.9
O4.5 4.8%
O5.5 1.5%
O6.5 0.4%
O7.5 0.1%
O8.5 0.0%
Green = model >55% over.
Expected legs: 9.3